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The 3% rule: the cautious cousin of the 4% rule

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Why long, early retirements lean on 3%

If the 4% rule is the famous one, the 3% rule is the one long, early retirements lean on. The logic is simple: withdraw less each year and your money is far more likely to outlast you — which matters a lot more when you're funding 40-50 years rather than the 30 the original study assumed. The cost, of course, is that you need a bigger pot for the same income (or you spend a bit less).

This calculator lets you see the trade-off directly: put in your numbers, then flip between 3%, 3.5% and 4% and watch how the survival odds and the income change. Just try it. For a long retirement, that one percentage point is often the difference between "probably fine" and "safe".

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Common questions

3% rule vs 4% rule — which should I use?
4% is the historical baseline for about 30 years; 3-3.5% is the cautious choice for long or early retirements, where sequence risk and inflation have more time to bite. Run both above and see the gap for your plan.
How much do I need for the 3% rule?
Flip it: divide your target yearly spending by 0.03 (so $30k a year points to about $1M). It needs a bigger pot than 4% for the same income — the safety comes at that price.
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